Prediction: The Modern-Day Sport-Science and Sports-Medicine “Quest for the Holy Grail”

in International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance
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In high-performance sport, science and medicine practitioners employ a variety of physical and psychological tests, training and match monitoring, and injury-screening tools for a variety of reasons, mainly to predict performance, identify talented individuals, and flag when an injury will occur. The ability to “predict” outcomes such as performance, talent, or injury is arguably sport science and medicine’s modern-day equivalent of the “Quest for the Holy Grail.” The purpose of this invited commentary is to highlight the common misinterpretation of studies investigating association to those actually analyzing prediction and to provide practitioners with simple recommendations to quickly distinguish between methods pertaining to association and those of prediction.

McCall is with the Medical Dept, Arsenal Football Club, London, UK. Fanchini is with the Sport Science and Performance Dept, US Sassuolo, Sassuolo, Italy. Coutts is with the Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney (UTS), Sydney, Australia.

Address author correspondence to Alan McCall at amccall@arsenal.co.uk.